The Coders Guild

Outcome Map

The Coders Guild. 13 outcomes across three horizons, connecting strategy to execution.

Strategic Context

Four goals driving everything

Every outcome maps to at least one of these. Click a goal to filter.

Goal 1
Financial Self-Sufficiency
60 live apprentices on programme by June 2026, then 100, then 200. Cohort economics: 16 optimal, 12 workable, below that unit economics suffer.
Goal 2
Operational Independence
Extract Crispin from day-to-day operations. Fill the leadership gap through automation rather than hiring. Team and systems handle the routine.
Goal 3
Revenue Diversification
Shift from previous 70/30 bootcamp-apprenticeship mix to 60/20/20 (apprenticeships / direct sale / consultancy and licensing). Modular CPD, short courses, international licensing.
Goal 4
Increase Company Value
Build systems, data, and recurring revenue that make the business valuable regardless of who owns it.
Now: 5
Next: 5
Later: 3
By June 2026

Now — Hit 60 and keep quality

Three agreed Q2 OKRs. Achievement prediction and team-led enrolments deferred to Next.

NOW — STRATEGIC
60 live apprentices on programme
Financial Self-Sufficiency
ROB / FRANCESCA
O1 MEDIUM
KRSuccess CriterionTargetOwner
KR1Live apprentices on programme60 by end of JuneRob
2.4 Delivery team has no pipeline visibility7.4 Recruitment learners fall out
KR2Number of active deals150Francesca
3.1 Sales depend on Crispin's brand3.5 Prospect list is exhaustible
KR3Blueberry deals generated30 by end of quarterFrancesca
1.1 Self-service skills gap assessment1.2 Quality invisible pre-purchase3.1 Sales depend on Crispin's brand
KR4Sales Qualified Leads generated360Francesca
1.1 Self-service skills gap assessment3.3 No structured qualification process
KR5Deals committed90Francesca
3.2 Crispin runs initial assessments3.3 No structured qualification process
The target is 60 live apprentices on programme, not 60 new enrolments. KR2–5 are the pipeline inputs that must stay full enough to reach and sustain 60 live by end of June.
NOW — EXECUTION
Pipeline velocity drops from ~12 weeks to under 6 weeks
Financial Self-Sufficiency
FRANCESCA / SHELLEY
O2 MEDIUM
KRSuccess CriterionTargetOwner
KR1Average days in commercial pipeline (Opportunity → paperwork prep)Under 15 daysFrancesca
2.1 Sales conversation data lost2.2 Front-load ops info from biz dev2.3 Employers asked same questions twice
KR2Average days from first contact to disqualification of sales qualified leadsUnder 2 working daysFrancesca
1.1 Self-service skills gap assessment3.3 No structured qualification process
KR3Average days from paperwork prep to onboardingUnder 5 working daysFrancesca
2.2 Front-load ops info from biz dev5.7 Pre-cohort admin manual
KR4Compliance document completion time per learnerUnder 10 working days from request to completeShelley
2.2 Front-load ops info from biz dev1.5 Payment type identified too late
KR2 ensures a slow 'no' doesn't block pipeline capacity. KR4 is Shelley's leg of the velocity problem — compliance docs are the handoff between sales and enrolment.
NOW — EXECUTION
Pre-course admin completion time and effort reduced
Operational Independence
ROB
O3 MEDIUM
KRSuccess CriterionTargetOwner
KR1Effort score Opportunity → paperwork prep per apprentice Baseline established, averaging 1 point lower by end of quarterRob
2.2 Front-load ops info from biz dev2.3 Employers asked same questions twice5.7 Pre-cohort admin manual
KR2Effort score paperwork prep to onboarding per apprentice Baseline established, averaging 1+ points lower by end of quarterRob
5.1 Manual compliance checking5.2 No single compliance view3.4 Leadership gap - absorb via automation
Effort scoring uses a 1–10 scale (1 = Good, 2 = Average, 3 = Challenging, based on actual Q2 baseline data). The Q2 target is directional — 1 point lower is meaningful in a short quarter with baseline still being set. Stage-gate automations in Monday.com are the key mechanism.
July — December 2026

Next — Reinforce the scaled model

Five outcomes that prove the model works at 60+ and build on it.

NEXT — STRATEGIC
Onboarding experience starts with learning — compliance in the background
Increase Company Value
SHELLEY / ROB
N1 MEDIUM

The first thing a learner experiences is their personalised skills gap roadmap and an introduction to learning, not a stack of forms. Compliance documentation is collected and processed behind the scenes through the automations built in Now. The employer's first impression is competence and quality, not bureaucracy.

Related Opportunities
2.2 Front-load ops info from biz dev 4.2 No personalised learning plan 4.4 Limited employer progress visibility 6.2 Onboarding doesn't show AI
NEXT — STRATEGIC
Crispin spends less than 20% of time on operations
Operational Independence
CRISPIN
N2 MEDIUM

Building on Now O3 (admin reduction) and the pipeline process changes in O2, this extends across all operations — delivery oversight, team management, compliance queries, firefighting. Crispin's time shifts to growth, partnerships, and strategic work. The team and systems handle the day-to-day.

Related Opportunities
2.1 Sales conversation data lost 3.1 Sales depend on Crispin's brand 3.4 Leadership gap - absorb via automation 5.6 SME management undocumented
NEXT — STRATEGIC
Sales flywheel — delivery to retention to advocacy to new leads
Financial Self-Sufficiency
FRANCESCA / CRISPIN
N3 LOW

Employers who've been through a cohort are actively referring new employers. Learners completing the programme become advocates. The 10KSB list and similar bought/borrowed networks are no longer the primary pipeline source. Lead generation is self-reinforcing rather than dependent on outbound effort or exhaustible lists.

Related Opportunities
3.5 Prospect list is exhaustible 3.6 Apollo not delivering value 6.4 Marketing doesn't showcase AI 7.2 Alumni community has no shape 7.3 No cross-sell tracking
NEXT — STRATEGIC
Revenue from non-apprenticeship sources reaches 20%
Revenue Diversification
CRISPIN
N4 LOW

Modular CPD, short courses, or consultancy built from existing KSB content generates meaningful revenue. The content already exists — it needs packaging and a commercial model. The previous revenue split was 70/30 between bootcamps and apprenticeships. With bootcamps ending, the target mix is 60/20/20 (apprenticeships / direct sale / consultancy and licensing). This outcome tracks the 40% that isn't apprenticeships.

Related Opportunities
1.3 No stepping stone for not-ready employers 7.1 No modular CPD offering
NEXT — STRATEGIC
Learner platform consolidates tools and demonstrates AI expertise
Increase Company Value
CRISPIN / ROB
N5 MEDIUM

Learners, coaches, and employers interact through a single platform rather than Slack + Google Drive + PICS + Laravel app + Google Forms. The platform itself is a proof point — TCG teaches AI and automation, and the experience of being a TCG learner demonstrates that expertise.

Related Opportunities
4.3 Learner experience fragmented 4.5 OTJ hours feel like busywork 6.1 Sales process not AI-assisted 6.2 Onboarding doesn't show AI 6.3 Internal ops run manually 6.4 Marketing doesn't showcase AI 6.5 Learner mgmt doesn't reflect curriculum
2027 and Beyond

Later — New revenue, new markets

Three outcomes for when the scaled model is working.

LATER — STRATEGIC
85%+ achievement rate sustained at 60+ apprentices
Financial Self-Sufficiency
SHELLEY
L1 MEDIUM

The lagging confirmation that quality at scale held. First cohorts at scale are completing and achieving at the same rate as the smaller cohorts did.

Related Opportunities
4.7 No cultural change support 5.3 Coach caseload in Shelley's head 5.4 No at-risk early warning
LATER — STRATEGIC
Alumni community has commercial shape and revenue
Revenue Diversification
CRISPIN
L2 LOW

Completed apprentices and their employers remain commercially engaged. The alumni community has structure beyond a Slack channel — curated content, CPD pathways, events, peer connections. It generates revenue, not just goodwill.

Related Opportunities
7.2 Alumni community has no shape 7.5 No peer community beyond cohort
LATER — STRATEGIC
International licensing or franchise model validated
Revenue Diversification
CRISPIN
L3 LOW

The model for taking TCG's curriculum and delivery approach into international markets is tested. Not necessarily generating significant revenue yet, but the commercial model, legal structure, and first partner are in place.

Related Opportunities
No opportunities mapped yet
Connections

Dependencies

OutcomeDepends OnReason
O1 (60 live)O2 (pipeline velocity)Can't build to 60 live in 3 months if pipeline takes 12 weeks
O1 (60 live)O4 (team-led enrolments)The team must be able to carry the process — Crispin alone can't handle 60
O3 (achievement prediction)O5 (admin reduction)If onboarding is slow and painful, learners start behind
N1 (learning-first onboarding)O5 (admin reduction)Compliance must be automated before it can be invisible
N2 (Crispin <20% ops)O4 (team-led enrolments)Team-led sales is the prerequisite for full operational independence
N3 (sales flywheel)O1 (60 live)Need delivered cohorts before you have advocates
N4 (revenue diversification)N5 (platform)Modular CPD needs a platform to deliver through
L1 (achievement at scale)O3 (achievement prediction)Leading indicators must be tracked before lagging outcome materialises
Working document

March 2026. Sources: Feb discovery session, March coordination meeting, March 10 and 17 process mapping workshops, Rob Brighton ops notes, Shelley Needham PICS data, transformation strategy, metrics inventory, opportunity map.

Created by Specs for The Coders Guild